House is at 9.5 feet above sea level, and we're about 4 miles inland from the Gulf. We had storm here back in late January the dumped 9-12" on us and the backup barely reached the halfway mark on the driveway; if Ian couldn't kill us, nothing will.
Hurricane season has arrived....
- Thread starter The Tradition
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I've seriously considered showing up in Tally at my sons' place, eating all of their food and drinking all of their beer - like they did to me a couple weeks ago when Helene was aiming at Tally.
There comes a point when covering a major hurricane event you start looking for good news here or there, anywhere. Unfortunately, there is little of it from the Monday morning models. The tracks remain very close to Tampa Bay, just a little slower. Intensity forecasts continue to predict a growing in size major hurricane (cat 3-5). We have Tuesday to watch for any significant changes, but after that, we start to nowcast, predicting where the core will go.
FSU meteorology grad Bryan Norcross, who became famous during Hurricane Andrew, has some very interesting insights in this segment. One key point is that no one really knows where this is going and that won’t change until the final hours before landfall. He also gives an example from Hurricane Andrew about not getting your hopes up for a sustained weakening due to eye replacement
Hurricane Milton To Strengthen Into Category 5 Storm On Monday
Hurricane Milton To Strengthen Into Category 5 Storm On Monday
Hundreds. You might be unaware of this, but all the major powers had colonies in the Atlantic and Caribbean. It's rumored that the Spanish visited a s***hole peninsula awhile back, too.
Log books of the people who survived (hint: weak storms). We don't have any log books from ships that sunk (hint: stronger storms).
Alright, flat lander question.....
It's looking likely to hit Tampa right? The models are kinda confirming that? It seems like it's going to nip Mexico at some point tonight(?) might that slow it down?
Once these things hit land do they ever go across Florida and pick up energy in the Atlantic?
It's looking likely to hit Tampa right? The models are kinda confirming that? It seems like it's going to nip Mexico at some point tonight(?) might that slow it down?
Once these things hit land do they ever go across Florida and pick up energy in the Atlantic?
Those storms sank the islands with recording stations, too? Good to know.
Land interaction might dull it a bit, but they're not forecasting that to happen.
Yes, they can reform in the Atlantic, but this one isn't forecast to do that.
Thanks, I was just doing some reading, sounds like Ian did make it across.
This probably seems like you guys listening to us talk about tornados but I've never really paid attention to hurricanes.
I just remember the name "andrew" when i was a kid.
You're the one spending valuable prep time cleverly trolling HBOT. I've got science on my side.
I am actually someone with two friends and their families crashing at my house in Tallahassee with their cars and a boat parked in my backyard, providing comfort to them all as they prepare to lose their homes as a Cat 5 steams their way. I know how they feel having watched a Cat 4 heading my way all of 10 days ago. I may not be as old as you, but I am a scientist and a native of Florida and can tell you this is not good nor is it normal and it absolutely is 100 percent due to sea temperatures rising.
Was there an island under Milton recording the rapid intensification? Before the 1940s, the world would have never known.
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