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Hurricane season has arrived....

I am actually someone with two friends and their families crashing at my house in Tallahassee with their cars and a boat parked in my backyard, providing comfort to them all as they prepare to lose their homes as a Cat 5 steams their way. I know how they feel having watched a Cat 4 heading my way all of 10 days ago. I may not be as old as you, but I am a scientist and a native of Florida and can tell you this is not good nor is it normal and it absolutely is 100 percent due to sea temperatures rising.
I commend you for helping your friends during this awful event.
I grew up here too and have seen many hurricanes here.
I don’t dispute the idea that the seas are warming. I am on board with the science that says the climate is changing. Of course it does.
I am not on board with these things being ENTIRELY the result of humans driving cars or failing to recycle plastics.
 
One of my employees just built a new home in Port Charlotte and moved there from the Fort Lauderdale area with her family less than 2 months ago. They evacuated this morning driving back to Miami to her mother in law’s house. Took a look at google earth of her house. Between 10-12 ft above sea level. There’s a water canal behind her back yard that connects to the rivers and eventually the bay listed at 5 ft. Could be bad news if there’s a storm surge. My in laws in the Sarasota/Bradenton area are staying. They’re further inland, but when we were down there two months ago during that hurricane we were stuck because the entrance to their neighborhood was flooded 8-10” deep.

I tell my wife, there’s no way in hell I’m moving to Florida.
 
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My God.
 
One of my employees just built a new home in Port Charlotte and moved there from the Fort Lauderdale area with her family less than 2 months ago. They evacuated this morning driving back to Miami to her mother in law’s house. Took a look at google earth of her house. Between 10-12 ft above sea level. There’s a water canal behind her back yard that connects to the rivers and eventually the bay listed at 5 ft. Could be bad news if there’s a storm surge. My in laws in the Sarasota/Bradenton area are staying. They’re further inland, but when we were down there two months ago during that hurricane we were stuck because the entrance to their neighborhood was flooded 8-10” deep.

I tell my wife, there’s no way in hell I’m moving to Florida.
If it hits with real Cat 5 winds the surge may not be as relevant.
 
Hunters just found 898 Pressure. Fifth lowest ever in Atlantic Basin.
The intensity and path reminds me of Wilma

In a 30–hour period through October 19, Wilma's barometric pressure dropped from 982 to 882 millibars (29.0 to 26.0 inHg); this made Wilma the most intense Atlantic hurricane on record, based on pressure. During the same intensification period, the winds increased to a peak intensity of 185 mph (295 km/h), making Wilma a Category 5 on the Saffir–Simpson scale. An eyewall replacement cycle caused Wilma to weaken below Category 5 status on October 20. The storm then drifted northwestward toward Mexico's Yucatán Peninsula as a result of an increase in mid-level ridging to the northeast. Late on October 21, Wilma made landfall on the island of Cozumel, Quintana Roo, with sustained winds of 150 mph (240 km/h). About six hours later, 03:30 UTC the next day, Wilma made a second landfall on the Mexican mainland near Puerto Morelos, but with winds reduced to 135 mph (215 km/h).[2]

Wilma_2005_path.png
 
We are expecting storm surges here on the first Coast with big time waves. Schools are closing again and will mean longer school year next spring and maybe a shorter spring break. Shelters are opening and emergency procedures in place.
I hope longtime locals in the TB area know the back state and county roads to go to the SoFla or upper keys or to head north and to the west Panhandle. Bridges will shut down and that can impede access north too. The Jacksonville area has several that serve the interstate and can affect northbound evacuations.
The last storm to hit Tampa of this size was in 1901. 15,000 people lived there at the time.
The 2020 census puts the population of the TB area in total at about 5 million.
One interstate (75) heads north and a short one heads east (4)
What’s wrong with this picture?
 
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Alright, flat lander question.....


It's looking likely to hit Tampa right? The models are kinda confirming that? It seems like it's going to nip Mexico at some point tonight(?) might that slow it down?

Once these things hit land do they ever go across Florida and pick up energy in the Atlantic?
Although it didn't hit Florida, Hurricane Camille made landfall on the Gulf Coast of southern Mississippi in 1969. As you can see on the graphic, it traveled several hundred miles across the southern states and went back out to sea off the coast of Virginia and redeveloped into a tropical storm. Camille kind of set the standard for what a really bad hurricane was until the last 25 years or so. Two of my friends rode this storm at their aunt's house in southern Mississippi. This storm had a 24 foot storm surge which killed hundreds of people who failed to evacuate. I think a lot of people saw it as a party event, sadly. It was recorded as the first CAT 5 storm to hit the US, although there were very bad storms which hit Galveston, TX and the Florida Keys decades before when the rating system had not been created yet.

hurricane-camille.jpg


Now, Hurricane Andrew in 1992 did exactly what you asked. It hit south of Miami as a CAT 5, traveled across the peninsula into the Gulf, strengthened again, and caused a lot more devastation when it hit the Louisiana Coast on a second landfall.

path-of-hurricane-andrew-1992-noaa.png
 
We are expecting storm surges here on the first Coast with big time waves. Schools are closing again and will mean longer school year next spring and maybe a shorter spring break. Shelters are opening and emergency procedures in place.
I hope longtime locals in the TB area know the back state and county roads to go to the SoFla or upper keys or to head north and to the west Panhandle. Bridges will shut down and that can impede access north too. The Jacksonville area has several that serve the interstate and can affect northbound evacuations.
The last storm to hit Tampa of this size was in 1901. 15,000 people lived there at the time.
The 2020 census puts the population of the TB area in total at about 5 million.
One interstate (75) heads north and a short one heads east (4)
What’s wrong with this picture?
15,000 people lived in Tampa Bay in 1901, that’s crazy. AC and mosquito control brought the people into Florida. Climate change will move them out.
 
We are expecting storm surges here on the first Coast with big time waves. Schools are closing again and will mean longer school year next spring and maybe a shorter spring break. Shelters are opening and emergency procedures in place.
I hope longtime locals in the TB area know the back state and county roads to go to the SoFla or upper keys or to head north and to the west Panhandle. Bridges will shut down and that can impede access north too. The Jacksonville area has several that serve the interstate and can affect northbound evacuations.
The last storm to hit Tampa of this size was in 1901. 15,000 people lived there at the time.
The 2020 census puts the population of the TB area in total at about 5 million.
One interstate (75) heads north and a short one heads east (4)
What’s wrong with this picture?
How wide is the state?
 
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