I think things are starting to tip slightly back toward Republicans. In addition, most of what I've seen favors Republicans more strongly among "Will definitely vote" voters.
I don't know if it will be enough for Republicans to take the Senate.
All along I've predicted Walker will lose in Georgia by a few percent, but now I think he has an even shot to win at least. Brian Kemp has enjoyed a larger lead against Stacey Abrams than people were predicting, and if that doesn't change (debate tonight), I think that hurts Warnock. I expect ticket splitters, and was thinking Kemp would win by 2-3% and Warnock by 2%.
But if Kemp is leading between 5-8% right now...I could see Walker surviving enough ticket splitters to eak it out. The wind has really gone out of Abrams' sails, and she needed a massive turnout of her voters. If her turnout is unenthusiastic, that's going to hurt Warnock. While Warnock vs Walker is huge for national Democrats given the Senate, but I'm not sure how much it animates the Abrams base in Georgia.
Walker came out of the debate with Warnock pretty well, mainly by not imploding in front of Republican voters that might be skittish about voting for him. Unless Abrams can really turn things around somehow, I think Walker might actually be in good shape.
Ohio is a total clown show. I have no idea what will happen there, but the last couple weeks haven't been all that kind to Fetterman.
I had pretty much chalked up OH and GA Sen races to the Dems, but I'm a lot less sure of that now.