Opened: Iowa -1.5
Current: UVA -2.5
Total Pts: 130
6pm
ESPN2
UVA has loses to Navy & Houston
Current: UVA -2.5
Total Pts: 130
6pm
ESPN2
UVA has loses to Navy & Houston
****Iowa (6-0) @ UVA (5-2) Game Thread****
- Thread starter QChawks
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Huh. Virginia plays a low scoring style with a stout defense. They've been somewhat challenged offensively so far being ranked 97th in offensive efficiency. If Iowa really is improved defensively they should be able to hold them under 70 as they've only exceeded that total once against Radford. I don't know that Virginia can hold the Hawks under that figure. I like the Hawks outright and the over in this one. It will definitely be a tougher test than any they've faced to date.
70-66 Hawks
70-66 Hawks
I can't wait for this game....we will finally see how these guy's play against solid opposition. That said, Virginia is a very high level defensive team and not so good on offense. I can't understand how we were a favorite at one time? That said, I also wonder what has happened to move this line?
UVA is not a great 3 point shooting team so far this year. Only 32% and 5.2 makes a game.
The biggest thing for hawks is scoring in the half court set because UVA plays slow like Wisky and grinds you down.
You realize that means they are going to shoot 13-15 against the Hawks tonight.... right?
As down as Virginia may be, they are an upperclassmen-laden squad. They only roll 7 deep, so if we can attack the hoop and get some guys in foul trouble that could be huge. I’ve got 75-70 Iowa
Hawkeyes 73
Cavaliers 64
Keegan gets 16 and our bench outscores theirs 40-4. Go Hawks!
Cavaliers 64
Keegan gets 16 and our bench outscores theirs 40-4. Go Hawks!
Playing AT VA is going to be tough. Anyone who had this as a win for the Hawks before the season started is crazy. I expect Iowa to struggle but hopefully pull this one out. If the 3s aren't falling for Iowa, it could be a really bad game.
Yeah I’m not expecting a lot tonight. UVA is battle tested, plays a style that gives us fits, and we have a relatively young team going on the road for the first time and really the first time some of these guys have ever played in a hostile environment. UVA has been playing at a high level since the Houston loss. If we lose I hope everyone doesn’t freak out but I know better for this board.
The B1G is favored in 11 of the 14 matchups according to kenpom. Unlikely to turn out that way.
I’ll take Iowa by 9. If I were a UVA fan looking at their bench, I’d be worried. The only two guys playing off the bench consistently are upperclassmen who haven’t done anything the past few seasons. That’s pretty damning for the young guys on their roster.
Toussaint and Clark are both defense first point guards with offensive limitations. That matchup will probably decide the game.
I’ll take Iowa by 9. If I were a UVA fan looking at their bench, I’d be worried. The only two guys playing off the bench consistently are upperclassmen who haven’t done anything the past few seasons. That’s pretty damning for the young guys on their roster.
Toussaint and Clark are both defense first point guards with offensive limitations. That matchup will probably decide the game.
Agreed. That Navy loss was bad but they’ve certainly played a tougher schedule than us.
Keegan needs to stay out of any foul trouble as I do believe we need to play M2M for almost the entire game. No cheap 3s...make them earn everything. Box out and GO!
My biggest concern is first time in a long while shooting in someone else's crib. Do we cool off from 3??
Go Hawks!
My biggest concern is first time in a long while shooting in someone else's crib. Do we cool off from 3??
Go Hawks!
They play a pack line defense, trying to force you into jump shots. We are going to see how good our half court offense is tonight.
So, if we are not hitting the mid range and 3 point jumpers, we could be in for a real battle.
So, if we are not hitting the mid range and 3 point jumpers, we could be in for a real battle.
As mentioned above....UVA has improved dramatically after their Houston loss. That defense is VERY tough and as someone else mentioned, Wisconsin is the best comparison.
So, as an Iowa fan I am prepared to be frustrated......and my predictions (which are almost always wrong) are the following that need to be done for Iowa to win.
1) We have to have low turnovers.
2) We have to rebound enough that the numbers aren't big in their favor.
3) We need at least one person (maybe two) to shoot well from the perimeter.
4) Our defense has to be relatively good.
Playing on the road against a team that has found their footing in the defensive identity will be very very tough. I agree with what was stated above...hopefully we can hang around and find a way to win in the end.
Last but not least, whatever the outcome, I hope we show significant progress on the defensive end and in rebounding.
So, as an Iowa fan I am prepared to be frustrated......and my predictions (which are almost always wrong) are the following that need to be done for Iowa to win.
1) We have to have low turnovers.
2) We have to rebound enough that the numbers aren't big in their favor.
3) We need at least one person (maybe two) to shoot well from the perimeter.
4) Our defense has to be relatively good.
Playing on the road against a team that has found their footing in the defensive identity will be very very tough. I agree with what was stated above...hopefully we can hang around and find a way to win in the end.
Last but not least, whatever the outcome, I hope we show significant progress on the defensive end and in rebounding.
I watched one Virginia game...here's what I got out of it. They are long...really good athletes...and they play hard at both ends. A few of these forwards weren't skilled shooters, but can put it on the floor and get to the rim. Point guard has serious quicks...and is a true point guard...looks to get everyone involved...very similar to Toussaint, but I think he quicker.
Fran is going to have to run some serious motion to get guys looks from three...in the game I watched they were running guys off the line and the length bothered people.
Fran is going to have to run some serious motion to get guys looks from three...in the game I watched they were running guys off the line and the length bothered people.
I think you make a great point. Good Iowa moves the ball, makes the defense work and finds good shots. Not so good Iowa forces things with 1:1 drives into traffic resulting in turnovers/charges. Have to win the TO battle to have a shot at winning given there will likely be fewer possessions based on how VA plays.
Yep. On Nov 15 we were discussing our schedule (including Virginia) in another thread. That is when I wrote this:
I think we will match up well with Virginia. They will try to slow the game down & Iowa will want to get up and down the court and score.
Last time I checked: Virginia does not have a lot of size and they don't play a ton of people.
Starters:
6'11 Soph Forward Kadin Shedrick
6'6 Senior Forward Jayden Gardner
6'2 Soph Guard Reece Beekman
6'4 Junior Guard Armaan Franklin
5'10 Senior Guard Kihei Clark
Their 2 Bench Players:
7'1 Junior Center Francisco Caffaro
6'8 Senior Guard Kody Stattmann
Link to that thread: https://iowa.forums.rivals.com/thre...-rating-is-355-out-of-358-teams.374411/page-2
Iowa 74 'ol Virginny 66 Jordan B shooting late free throws to ice the win.
WTF are you doing? Trying to ensure a VA 3 point barrage? I'm reporting you to the admins.
I think there will be multiple possessions where Virginia locks down Iowa's offense for the majority of the shot clock. Keegan is going to have to create late in the shot clock on a lot of those possessions, I'd imagine. It'll be interesting to see how they try to defend him based on their roster.
I don’t know if Keegan is good enough, yet, but if they can’t stop him he could dismantle their defense as they try to help on him and get themselves in foul trouble…..at least I hope it works that way!
In their last game vs Lehigh (1-5), it was a 4 point game at half (25-21).
Virginia pulled away in the 2nd half and won 61-43.
They committed only 8 fouls!!!
They started the same 5.
Starters:
6'11 Soph Forward Kadin Shedrick
6'6 Senior Forward Jayden Gardner
6'2 Soph Guard Reece Beekman
6'4 Junior Guard Armaan Franklin
5'10 Senior Guard Kihei Clark
Their 4 Bench Players with 10 or more minutes:
7'1 Junior Center Francisco Caffaro (20 Minutes)
6'8 Senior Guard Kody Stattmann (10 minutes)
6'10 Freshman Guard Igor Milicis (13 minutes)
6'2 Soph Guard Malachi Poindexter (11 minutes)
Virginia pulled away in the 2nd half and won 61-43.
They committed only 8 fouls!!!
They started the same 5.
Starters:
6'11 Soph Forward Kadin Shedrick
6'6 Senior Forward Jayden Gardner
6'2 Soph Guard Reece Beekman
6'4 Junior Guard Armaan Franklin
5'10 Senior Guard Kihei Clark
Their 4 Bench Players with 10 or more minutes:
7'1 Junior Center Francisco Caffaro (20 Minutes)
6'8 Senior Guard Kody Stattmann (10 minutes)
6'10 Freshman Guard Igor Milicis (13 minutes)
6'2 Soph Guard Malachi Poindexter (11 minutes)
You realize that means they are going to shoot 13-15 against the Hawks tonight.... right?
in the first half!
I'll be surprised if Keegan is held under 20. Maybe I'm delusional. Well see shortly. He will be the go-to tonight and all season. He'll play 35+ minutes in any competitive game.
Speaking of possessions, check this out:
51 shots Lehigh got up vs Virginia on Nov 26
66 shots Iowa got up vs Portland State on Nov 26
Just realized this their 1st road game lol
Any night the shots don't fall could get ugly
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